This voting bloc is multiracial, multigenerational, geographically diverse, and majority female. New American Voters hold distinct ideologies, experiences, and viewpoints, and will be motivated by a variety of issues this November.
With a competitive Senate election (rated “lean R” by the Cook Political Report), a contested gubernatorial election (rated “likely R” by the Cook Political Report), and races for state House and Senate seats, the state Supreme Court, and school boards, Ohio will be one of the most critical states during the November 2022 midterm elections and New American Voters can sway the outcome.
Ohio ranks 13th in the nation according to the New American Voters Impact Model, which was created by the National Partnership for New Americans (NPNA) and the U.S. Immigration Policy Center (USIPC) at the University of California, San Diego to showcase the potential of this critical voting bloc to influence the outcome of midterm elections in 50 states. This report offers data that illustrates how New American Voters can have an outsized impact.
Ohio’s cohort is part of an estimated 5.19 million newly naturalized citizens across the U.S., according to New American Voters 2022: Harnessing the Power of Naturalized Citizens, a report released by NPNA, the Service Employees International Union (SEIU), APIAVote, and USPIC. The power of this potential voting bloc is determined by individuals’ ability to both register and vote this November.
This electoral season presents many challenges, including the need for organizations to adapt their voter engagement work to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, language access issues, and ongoing efforts to tighten and restrict access to voting, particularly targeting voters of color.
After a fraught 2020 redistricting process, Ohio lost its only Black-majority district in the U.S. House of Representatives despite an Ohio Supreme Court ruling that the state electoral maps were unconstitutional.
Another challenge is the increasing backlog and processing delays of citizenship applications. According to the latest data from U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS), there are over 750,000 pending citizenship applications nationwide, with 11,368 applications backlogged in USCIS’ three offices in Ohio.
While the national average processing delay is around 11 months, approximately 80 percent of applications are processed within 13 months in USCIS’ Cleveland office and approximately 80 percent of applications are processed within 14.5 months in USCIS’ Cincinnati office.
This means that immigrants who are eligible for citizenship and who would have otherwise naturalized and have had time to register to vote in this year’s elections may not be able to do so given the naturalization application backlog.
Ohio-based organizations, including Asian Services in Action (ASIA) and Global Cleveland, are partnering with NPNA’s New American Voters Campaign, a non-partisan nationwide effort to address naturalization barriers and encourage newly naturalized citizens to register and vote.